Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions NFL match analysis, predictions and odds

Sunday sees the Chicago Bears (3-6) go up against the Detroit Lions (2-6) for an NFC North divisional match-up at the Soldier Field. A tally of three wins from nine games leaves the Chicago Bears with a divisional ranking of third in the NFC North, while the Detroit Lions are fourth in the NFC North after collecting two victories out of a possible eight. The Detroit Lions arrive at the Soldier Field as big outsiders to stop the Chicago Bears. The home side should be able to book this one as a win, considering how highly they are favored the oddsmakers favor them.

Form Chicago Bears

The Chicago Bears are 3-6 for the season and their latest match against the Miami Dolphins finished 32-35, leaving them 4-6 across their past 10 games and 3-2 in the last five at home.

The Chicago Bears have scored 20.8 points per game this season, which is pretty average compared to the other NFL offenses. As for the defense, the hosts have given up 27.8 points across the previous five outings. Considering the defensive unit has only allowed 24.0 points for the season itself, it’s fair to say the defensive unit has not performed to its usual standards of late.

In 2021, the Chicago Bears went 6-11 to end up third in the NFC North and out of playoff contention. They hoped to make a return to the NFL postseason this time around, but it looks like fans will have to wait a little longer as the hosts are only 3-6 this season so far.

Form Detroit Lions

The Detroit Lions finally put an end to their five game losing streak last time out by beating the Green Bay Packers 15-9. The victory improved their record from the past ten games to 3-7. They are also 1-4 in the last five on the road.

It’s been a rough few weeks for the visiting offense in terms of points scored. In the last five matches, the Detroit Lions have only put up 18.6 points on average which is way below their season average of 23.5 points. Putting up a good defense has been no walk in the park for the Detroit Lions either, as they’ve allowed a poor 29.3 points per game this season.

2021 was a year to forget for the Detroit Lions. The visitors failed to reach the playoffs, having finished fourth in the NFC North at 3-13, and are expected to miss the NFL postseason again, having gone 2-6 so far in the current campaign.


The Chicago Bears won their last two matches against the Detroit Lions. The latest game finished with a 14-16 score on November 2021, while the game before that ended in a 24-14 victory on October 2021. The implied probability of a third straight win for the Chicago Bears (-152) is at 60%. The past 25 meetings have mostly gone in the Chicago Bears’s favor. In total, they claimed 14 wins with a total score of 14-11. Unless the Detroit Lions pull something special out of the bag, this run might well continue on Sunday.

In their last 25 head-to-head games, the Chicago Bears managed 22.84 points on average per game, while the Detroit Lions put 21.52 points on board.




Take the Chicago Bears (-152) on the moneyline. The hosts have consistently outperformed the Detroit Lions in recent years and are currently on a two-match winning streak in this series. On the other side, the Detroit Lions are the clear 2.30 underdogs. Considering they’ve lost four of their last four road trips to NFC North teams, this might not be a surprise.


The oddsmakers are siding with the Chicago Bears (-105) on the spread, but not by much. The hosts open up as -3.0 point favorites over the Detroit Lions for Sunday’s matchup. It’s been a close call between the Chicago Bears and the Detroit Lions in their last five games, with the average winning margin being just 4.8 points.

The Chicago Bears have covered the spread in four of their last five games at home and are our take for the spread this week. In their previous ten games, the home team also went 5-5 ATS overall.

The Detroit Lions, on the other hand, have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games. In their past eight matchups against teams from the NFC North, the Detroit Lions have gone 3-5 ATS.


Judging by a points average of 44.36 points from the last 25 matchups of this series, the total should land somewhere between 40 and 45 points for the latest encounter between the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions.

Take the over (-110) for this latest matchup between the Chicago Bears and the Detroit Lions. The total has gone over in ten of the past 25 times that these teams have locked horns, and we wouldn’t be surprised to see it go over again on Sunday.

The total has averaged 44.4 points in the Chicago Bears’ 10 most recent games, as well as 38.2 points in their last five at home. Looking back on the last five games on home soil for the Chicago Bears, the total went over two times. They are 6-4 against the total overall from their previous ten matches.

The last four away matches Detroit Lions played saw the points total finishing under. Interestedly, the total has gone under in five of the away team’s past eight matchups against teams from the NFC North.