Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers NFL match analysis, predictions and odds

Sunday sees the Detroit Lions (1-6) go up against the Green Bay Packers (3-5) for an NFC North divisional match-up at the Ford Field. The Detroit Lions hold fourth place in the NFC North after winning one of their seven games, while three wins from eight matches leaves the Green Bay Packers second in the division standings. A run of five straight defeats has recently hit a sorry-looking Detroit Lions to leave their campaign hanging in the balance. Can they get back on track at the Ford Field, or will the Green Bay Packers inflict more misery their way? Let’s check it out in this preview.

Form Detroit Lions

The Detroit Lions were dealt a tough blow last week when they lost 27-31 to the Miami Dolphins. The defeat extended their losing streak to five games, leaving their overall record for the past 10 games at 3-7.

The Detroit Lions continue to put up decent numbers in offense, scoring 20.4 points in their last five matches. Considering their season average is 24.7 points, this suggests the offensive unit is consistent. The Detroit Lions have one of the worst defensive units in the entire league. The defense has allowed a staggering 32.1 points in seven games, leaving much to be desired.

2021 was a year to forget for the Detroit Lions. The hosts failed to reach the playoffs, having finished fourth in the NFC North at 3-13, and are expected to miss the NFL postseason again, having gone 1-6 so far in the current campaign.

Form Green Bay Packers

A 27-17 defeat to the Buffalo Bills last week extended the losing streak of the Green Bay Packers to four matches. Their record for the last 10 games now stands at 4-6.

Things haven’t improved on the offense front for the Green Bay Packers at all, having put just 19.4 points on board across the last five matches. In all, the offense has averaged 18.1 points for the season. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The visitors have given up 25.6 points in the previous five outings, which is more or less on par with the 21.6 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.

This year, the Green Bay Packers had been tipped to go far into the playoffs. However, eight matches into the current regular season, the visitors are only 3-5 and won’t be around when the NFL postseason gets underway in January unless, of course, they can turn things around quickly.

H2H

The Detroit Lions came away with a 37-30 win in their latest encounter with the Green Bay Packers, which took place at the Ford Field. In 12 of the past 25 meetings between the Detroit Lions and the Green Bay Packers the total scoreline went over 49.5 points.

The Detroit Lions scored 23.56 points on average per game in their 25 most recent head-to-head games against the Green Bay Packers. The latter managed an average of 24 points per game.

Standings

Both teams won’t make the NFL postseason as things stand ahead of their divisional matchup in Week 9. The Green Bay Packers are one spot ahead of the rock-bottom Detroit Lions in the NFC South standings. They have posted two more wins than their 1-6 hosts, going 3-5 in the regular season so far.

Betting

Moneyline

Take the Green Bay Packers (2.60) for the outright win on the moneyline. The Detroit Lions have struggled to get results against the away team in recent years, and while the home-field advantage is on their side at the Ford Field, that may not be enough. Instead, we like the look of the Green Bay Packers continuing their dominance in this series, having won four of their last five matchups against the Detroit Lions.

Spread

The Green Bay Packers (1.55) open up as the -3.5 favorites over the Detroit Lions, according to the oddsmakers. This suggests a road win is possible, but it won’t be by much.

The Detroit Lions have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games. That said, in their past seven divisional matchups against teams from the NFC North, the Detroit Lions have gone an impressive 5-2 ATS.

The Green Bay Packers, on the other hand, have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games. In their past 10 matches, the Green Bay Packers went 4-6 ATS in this market. They also ended up 2-4 ATS in their 10 most recent road trips.

Total

The total may have passed the 45-point mark, but it didn’t quite go above 50 points, as the last 25 games between the Detroit Lions and the Green Bay Packers produced an average of 47.56 points.

The average total in the last five encounters between the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers was a staggering 56 points. As the total for their latest showdown is 49.5, it might be worth siding with the Over (2.60).

Detroit Lions enjoy entertaining the home crowd as the over-market paid out in their last five matches at the Ford Field. Also worth mentioning is the fact that exactly half the previous 10 games at the Ford Field for the Detroit Lions went over. All in all, they are 6-4 over/under in their last 10 games, whether home or away.

The total has gone under in four of the Green Bay Packers’ last five games played on the road. Looking back on the last 5 games on the road for the Green Bay Packers, the total went over one time. They are 3-7 against the total overall from their previous 10 matches.