The spotlight is on the Green Bay Packers (3-2) as they open the doors at the Lambeau Field for a cross-conference clash on Sunday against the New York Jets (3-2). The Green Bay Packers are in second place in NFC North after collecting three wins from five games so far this season, while three wins from as many matches leave the New York Jets second in the AFC East. The Green Bay Packers are the big favorites to snatch the win on the moneyline. Considering how strongly the oddsmakers are favoring them, anything but a victory against the New York Jets will be a huge shock.
Form Green Bay Packers
A 27-22 defeat against the New York Giants in London brought the Green Bay Packers back down to Earth after enjoying a superb 3-0 run. They are now 4-6 in their past 10 games overall.
The Green Bay Packers have struggled to get their offense rolling so far, scoring just 19.4 points on average. Surrendering 19.2 points per game, meanwhile, leaves the Green Bay Packers’ defense around the middle of the pack compared to the rest of the league’s defensive units.
Form New York Jets
The New York Jets made it back-to-back wins in Week 5 by cruising past the Miami Dolphins 40-17. They are 6-4 in their past 10 games overall and on a three-match winning streak on the road.
The New York Jets will bring a middle-of-the-park offense for their latest game on the road, having scored 23.2 points per game this season. A below-average defense isn’t what any traveling team wants to hear, but that’s how it is for the New York Jets. The visitors have allowed a nerve-wracking 23.6 points per game this year.
The New York Jets took out the Green Bay Packers in a 23-14 win when the two teams last faced each other, thus ending a two-match losing streak against their latest opponents. They are 2-3 in the previous five meetings in this series.
In these past five head-to-head games, the Green Bay Packers pulled off 21.6 points per game, whereas New York Jets scored 24.6 points on average.
The two teams appear evenly matched, with their season records standing at 3-2. The Green Bay Packers are second in the NFC North, just one win off the top of the division. They are 2-1 at home, although the New York Jets can better that. The AFC East title chasers are 2-0 on the road and in a better run of form going into this matchup.
Take the Green Bay Packers (-455) to win outright on the moneyline. The New York Jets are in great form, but the Green Bay Packers know how to get the job at home. While their home record reads 2-1 record, last week’s London defeat to the New York Giants counted as a home loss, so technically they are still unbeaten and on a three-match winning run at Lambeau.
The Green Bay Packers are expected to win by more than a touchdown on Sunday. The oddsmakers currently have the hosts down as -9.5 point favorites over the New York Jets in the Week 6 betting lines.
However, as the Green Bay Packers have only covered the spread in half of their past 10 home rounds, perhaps it would be more worthwhile siding with the New York Jets? The visitors have covered the spread in five of their last six games on the road after all. Overall, they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games, so my pick against the spread is the New York Jets +9.50 (-110).
There was an average of 46.2 points scored in the previous five clashes between the Green Bay Packers and the New York Jets.
The total score went over in half the previous 10 home games for the Green Bay Packers, who are 4-6 in the over/under market in their last 10 games overall.
On the other hand, the New York Jets have been entertaining the home crowds they meet on the road, as the over-market has paid out in their last two road matches. The over has also been a winning bet in seven of their past 10 road games. With these stats in mind, I’m taking the Over 44.0 (-110) bet for this matchup.