Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders NFL match analysis, predictions and odds
The TIAA Bank Field plays host to an AFC Conference matchup between the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-6) and the Las Vegas Raiders (2-5) on Sunday. The Jacksonville Jaguars are in third place in AFC South after collecting two wins from eight games so far in the regular season, while two wins in seven matches leaves Las Vegas Raiders fourth in the AFC West. A run of two straight defeats has recently hit a sorry-looking Jacksonville Jaguars to leave their campaign hanging in the balance. Can they get back on track at the TIAA Bank Field, or will the Las Vegas Raiders inflict more misery their way? Let’s check it out in this preview.
Form Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jacksonville Jaguars were dealt a tough blow last week when they lost 17-21 to the Denver Broncos. The defeat extended their losing streak to five games, leaving their overall record for the past 10 games at 5-5.
Unfortunately, the Jacksonville Jaguars offense hasn’t performed to its usual standards of late. In the last five matches, the offensive unit has only put up 17.6 points on average, which is someway off this season’s tally of 21.5 points. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The hosts have given up 24.0 points in the previous five outings, which is more or less on par with the 19.8 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.
2021 was a year to forget for the Jacksonville Jaguars. The hosts failed to reach the playoffs, having finished fourth in the AFC South at 3-14, and are expected to miss the NFL postseason again, having gone 2-6 so far in the current campaign.
Form Las Vegas Raiders
The Las Vegas Raiders are 2-5 for the season and their latest match against the New Orleans Saints finished 24-0.
The Las Vegas Raiders will bring a middle-of-the-park offense for their latest game on the road, having scored 23.3 points per game this season. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The visitors have given up 24.2 points in the previous five outings, which is more or less on par with the 24.9 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.
Unsurprisingly, the Las Vegas Raiders are unlikely to make the NFL postseason as things stand. Few people expected the home side to go far, and given their 2-5 regular season record, it seems they had good reason.
H2H
The Las Vegas Raiders pulled off a 27-11 win in their most recent game against the Jacksonville Jaguars, which took place at the Allegiant Stadium. Both teams have failed to claim the upper hand in this series in recent years, having claimed four wins apiece from their previous eight matchups.
In their past eight head-to-head games, Jacksonville Jaguars pulled off 22.38 points on average per game, whereas Las Vegas Raiders scored 21.13 points per match.
Standings
The two teams are under .500 and out of playoff contention ahead of this Week 9 matchup. The Las Vegas Raiders are rock bottom in the AFC West standings, while the Jacksonville Jaguars are third in the AFC South.
Betting
Moneyline
Take the Las Vegas Raiders (2.05) for the outright win on the moneyline. The Jacksonville Jaguars have struggled to get results against the away team in recent years, and while the home-field advantage is on their side at the TIAA Bank Field, that may not be enough. Instead, we like the look of the Las Vegas Raiders continuing their dominance in this series, having won four of their last five matchups against the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Spread
The Las Vegas Raiders (1.80) open as the -1.5 point road favorites over the Jacksonville Jaguars. Given how closely the oddsmakers have placed the spread, we could be in for a real even-stevens encounter here. The last five games between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Las Vegas Raiders have produced an average winning margin of 10.0 points, but the oddsmakers misjudged the spread by 6.9 points on average. The current spread is set at 1.5.
Backing the Jacksonville Jaguars to cover the spread looks like a red flag here, even on home soil. They’ve failed to cover the spread in their last five outings ahead of Sunday’s latest matchup. The Jacksonville Jaguars are 2-7 ATS at home and 2-7 ATS overall in their last 10 games.
The Las Vegas Raiders, on the other hand, have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games on the road. In their past 10 matches, the Las Vegas Raiders went 5-5 ATS in this market. They also ended up 3-7 ATS in their 10 most recent road trips.
Total
Judging by a points average of 43.51 points from the last eight matchups of this series, the total should land somewhere between 40 and 45 points for the latest encounter between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Las Vegas Raiders.
The average total in the last five encounters between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Las Vegas Raiders was 40 points. As the total for their latest showdown is set at 48.0, taking the Under (1.80) might just be worth its weight in gold.
The Jacksonville Jaguars saw nine of their previous ten games at the TIAA Bank Field go under. Meanwhile, on the other side of the market, the total only went over in one of the last five home games for the Jacksonville Jaguars. They are 5-5 against the total across the last 10 games, whether home or away.
As for the Las Vegas Raiders, the total has gone over in four of their last five outings. However, when you take only their past seven road games into account, you’ll find the total went under five times.