Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars NFL match analysis, predictions and odds

The GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium plays host to an AFC Conference matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs (6-2) and the Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6) on Sunday. The Kansas City Chiefs are in first place in AFC West after collecting six wins from eight games so far in the regular season, while three wins in nine matches leaves Jacksonville Jaguars third in the AFC South. The Kansas City Chiefs are the big favorites to snatch the win on the moneyline. Considering how strongly the oddsmakers rate their chances against the Jacksonville Jaguars, the home crowd will be anything but impressed if they somehow slip up at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

Form Kansas City Chiefs

Taking on the Kansas City Chiefs at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is no mean feat at the moment. The hosts have won four of their last five home games straight up and arrive on the back of a 20-17 win against the Tennessee Titans.

Bragging rights to one of the deadliest offenses the NFL has seen this season goes to the Kansas City Chiefs, who have put up 30.4 points across eight games. The art of defending isn’t something the Kansas City Chiefs excel in though. By allowing 23.6 points per game, their defense has been below average compared to the rest of the league this year.

The Kansas City Chiefs are touted as a potential Super Bowl challenger for this season. While it’s still early days, things are going according to plan so far. The hosts hold the second seed in the AFC Conference, leaving them set for a spot in the January playoffs. Until then, the aim will be to strengthen their position by either maintaining or improving their current seeding.

Form Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jacksonville Jaguars finally put an end to their losing streak last time out by beating the Las Vegas Raiders 27-20. The victory improved their record from the past ten games to 3-7. They are also 1-4 in the last five on the road.

The away offense has been struggling lately. In the last five matches, the unit has only put up 18.8 points on average, which is less than the Jacksonville Jaguars’ season average of 22.1 points. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The visitors have given up 22.2 points in the previous five outings, which is more or less on par with the 19.8 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.

Unsurprisingly, the Jacksonville Jaguars are unlikely to make the NFL postseason as things stand. Few people expected the home side to go far, and given their 3-6 regular season record, it seems they had good reason.


The Kansas City Chiefs won by a 26-40 scoreline the last time they played the Jacksonville Jaguars at the TIAA Bank Field, which also meant the required total of 50.5 went over. The Kansas City Chiefs have enjoyed the upper hand over the Jacksonville Jaguars from their previous ten matchups. The home side celebrated seven wins to go 7-3 in this series and will look to continue their dominance at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Kansas City Chiefs tallied 26.8 points on average per game from their ten most recent head-to-head games against the Jacksonville Jaguars. The latter managed an average of 19.5 points in comparison.




We’re taking the Kansas City Chiefs (-455) for the outright win on the moneyline. The 3-1 hosts seem to relish going up against AFC South opposition, especially at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. They’ve won four of their last five home matchups against AFC South teams. Odds of -455 suggests they have a 83% chance of adding another victory to their haul. As for the Jacksonville Jaguars, it’s been a tough time. The 3-6 visitors have lost four of their past five games, and with the oddsmakers pricing a road win at +350, it seems taking a home win is the way to go.


The oddsmakers have the Kansas City Chiefs (-110) pinned down as -9.5 point favorites against the Jacksonville Jaguars, leaving the hosts as the clear-cut choice for the win. The last five rounds between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Jacksonville Jaguars have been rather one-sided, with an average winning margin of up to 16.6 points.

The Kansas City Chiefs have failed in covering the spread in four games on the bounce, even in front of their boisterous crowd at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. In their previous ten games overall, the Kansas City Chiefs went 5-5 ATS.

The Jacksonville Jaguars, on the other hand, have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games. The visitors are 1-5 ATS from their six most recent road trips, as well as 3-7 ATS in their last ten games overall.


The last ten games between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Jacksonville Jaguars offered a decent average of 46.3 points on the board.

Siding with the Under (-110) seems a worthwhile bet. The total is set at 50.5, and with the two teams boasting an average points total of 47 from their last five matchups, it seems going under is the way to go.

The total has gone under in five of Kansas City Chiefs’ last six games on their home turf. Meanwhile, on the other side of the market, the total only went over in one of the last five home games for the Kansas City Chiefs. They are 4-6 against the total across their last ten games, whether home or away.

The total score went under in the last three games Jacksonville Jaguars played. Interestedly, the total has gone under in five of the away team’s past eight matchups against teams from the AFC West.