The New York Giants (4-1) play the Baltimore Ravens (3-2) on Sunday, 16 at 19:00 at MetLife Stadium. Five games into the regular season, the New York Giants are third in the NFC East. The hosts have posted four wins from five games, winning one more match than the Baltimore Ravens. If they can beat AFC North leaders this weekend, we may have to consider them a serious postseason contender.
Form New York Giants
The New York Giants secured a 27-22 win over the Green Bay Packers in their latest match, which improved their good run of form to four wins in five games.
The offensive unit has scored 20.6 points per game this season, which is pretty average compared to the other NFL offenses. Surrendering 18.6 points per game, meanwhile, leaves their defense around the middle of the pack compared to the rest of the league’s defensive units.
Form Baltimore Ravens
A 19-17 win over last season’s Super Bowl finalists Cincinnati Bengals got Baltimore Ravens straight back to winning ways. They are 6-4 in their past 10 games overall and on a three-match win streak on the road.
A virtuoso offense is the first step to winning games on the road, which the Baltimore Ravens have covered. In five rounds this season, the offensive unit has put up a solid 27.6 points on average. A below-average defense isn’t what any traveling team wants to hear, but that’s how it is for the Baltimore Ravens. The visitors have allowed a nerve-wracking 23.4 points per game this year.
The Baltimore Ravens downed the New York Giants by 27-13 at the M&T Bank Stadium, the last time these two franchises played each other. New York Giants came away with two wins from their past five games with the Baltimore Ravens, leaving them with an overall record of 2-3.
New York Giants scored 17.25 points on average per game in their eight most recent head-to-head games against the Baltimore Ravens. In contrast, the latter averaged 22.75 points.
Despite boasting an inferior win-loss record, the Baltimore Ravens are the team currently winning their division. The AFC North leaders are a solid 2-0 on the road ahead of their matchup with the New York Giants, who are 2-1 at home and third in the AFC East this season.
I’m taking the Baltimore Ravens (-238) on the moneyline. The visitors have performed better on the road rather than at home lately. They have won their last three road trips and boast one of the most potent offenses in the game, which should give the New York Giants defense a run for their money.
The Baltimore Ravens open as the -6.0 point road favorites against the New York Giants, according to the oddsmakers. This suggests they should win by a touchdown at the very least. An average 14.2-point winning margin was the difference between the New York Giants and the Baltimore Ravens across their last five meetings. The spread itself was only 1.4 points off in these games.
The New York Giants have only covered the spread in half of their past 10 home rounds, which makes them a bit too 50/50 for my liking.
The Baltimore Ravens, however, have covered the spread in four of their last five games on the road and are 6-3 ATS in their last 10 overall. I’m siding with the Baltimore Ravens (-110) to cover the spread here.
Betting on the over looks like a bit of a red flag here, as the total has only gone over three times in the eight most recent encounters between the New York Giants and the Baltimore Ravens.
The total has only gone over in one of the last 10 home games for the New York Giants. They are 4-5 in the last 10 home and away games combined. Looking back over the last 10 games on the road for the Baltimore Ravens, only four went over, while they are 4-6 in the over/under market across their previous 10 home and away games combined. Therefore, I am going for the Under 43.50 (-110).