New York Giants vs Houston Texans NFL match analysis, predictions and odds
The Houston Texans (1-6-1) take to the road to face the New York Giants (6-2) at the MetLife Stadium on Sunday for a Week 10 matchup. The New York Giants are in third place in NFC East after collecting six wins from eight games so far in the regular season, while one win in eight matches leaves Houston Texans fourth in the AFC South. The New York Giants are the big favorites to snatch the win on the moneyline. Considering how strongly the oddsmakers rate their chances against the Houston Texans, the home crowd will be anything but impressed if they somehow slip up at the MetLife Stadium.
Form New York Giants
Even though the Seattle Seahawks beat them 27-13 last time out, the New York Giants still look good. They’re on an excellent run of form, having collected four wins in five games. Their overall record from the past 10 games stands at 7-3.
The New York Giants continue to put up decent numbers in offense, scoring 21.4 points in their last five matches. Considering their season average is 20.4 points, this suggests the offensive unit is consistent. On the defensive side of the ball, there has been no letup whatsoever. The hosts boast one of the stingiest defenses in the entire country, allowing just 19.6 points per game for this season, and have remained formidable in the past five games, having only given up 19.6 points on average.
In 2021, the New York Giants came home in fourth place in the NFC East standings after going 4-13 across all games. The hosts naturally hope to go even better this season. However, like every other team in the NFL, sealing a spot in the playoff during this regular season is the first and foremost priority for now.
Form Houston Texans
A 17-29 defeat last week against Philadelphia Eagles extended the losing streak of the Houston Texans to three matches. It also brought their overall record for the past 10 games to 3-6.
Things haven’t improved on the offense front for the Houston Texans at all, having put just 16.8 points on board across the last five matches. In all, the offense has averaged 16.6 points for the season. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The visitors have given up 24.8 points in the previous five outings, which is more or less on par with the 22.9 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.
Unsurprisingly, the Houston Texans are unlikely to make the NFL postseason as things stand. Few people expected the home side to go far, and given their 1-6-1 regular season record, it seems they had good reason.
H2H
The New York Giants won 27-22 against the Houston Texans in their most recent encounter, which they played out at the NRG Stadium. New York Giants can’t wait to welcome Houston Texans at the MetLife Stadium, no doubt expecting to continue their dominant display against their coming visitors. They are 4-0 in the last four meetings, and claimed two wins from the past two encounters in front of their home crowd.
The New York Giants tallied 26.25 points on average per game from their four most recent head-to-head games against the Houston Texans. The latter managed an average of 14.75 points in comparison.
Standings
Betting
Moneyline
Take the New York Giants (-238) for the outright win on the moneyline. The oddsmakers rate their chances of success on Sunday at 74%, and given their decent run of form at home, it’s easy to see why. The 6-2 hosts have won four of their last five matches at the MetLife Stadium, leaving their home record for the season at 3-1 SU. On the other side, the Houston Texans are the clear 3.30 underdogs. Considering they’ve lost 11 of their last 17 matchups with NFC teams, this might not be a big surprise.
Spread
The New York Giants (-110) are the -4.5 point favorites over the Houston Texans in the Week 10 betting lines. This leaves the hosts favored to take the win by more than a touchdown on Sunday. A winning margin as high as 11.5 points has settled the last four matches between the New York Giants and Houston Texans.
The New York Giants have covered the spread in four of their last five games at home. The hosts are specialists in covering the spread and have the stats to prove it. They have covered the spread in four of their past 5 home matches, are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 overall, and are our take to cover the spread for this week’s matchup.
The Houston Texans may enter the matchup as the +6.5 point underdogs, but they look capable of keeping things tight at the MetLife Stadium. Their defense holds position 14 in the league’s defensive rankings after all, allowing 22.9 points on average this season. The visitors are 3-2 ATS from their five most recent road trips, as well as 6-4 ATS in their last ten games overall.
Total
The average total from the previous four matchups between the New York Giants and the Houston Texans was 41 points.
Going for the Over (-110) might be worth a shot, with the total currently set at 39.5 points, as the total average points from the previous four meetings between the New York Giants and Houston Texans was 41 points.
The total has averaged 42.5 points in the New York Giants’ ten most recent games, as well as 39.4 points in their last five at home. Meanwhile, on the other side of the market, the total only went over in two of the last five home games for the New York Giants. They are 4-5 against the total across their last ten games, whether home or away.
As for the Houston Texans, the average total has been 37.7 points in the away team’s past ten matches and 37.8 points in the last five on the road. Meanwhile, the over-market paid out in three of the last 5 games on the road for the Houston Texans. All in all, they are 5-5 in their last 10 games.