New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills NFL match analysis, predictions and odds

The New York Jets (5-3) welcome the Buffalo Bills (6-1) to the MetLife Stadium for another divisional match-up in the AFC East on Sunday. The New York Jets hold second place in the AFC East after winning five of their eight games, while six wins from seven matches leaves the Buffalo Bills first in the division standings. It’s now getting toward that time of the year when every match counts. For the New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills, a victory here could prove to be a game-changer in their respective campaigns.

Form New York Jets

Even though the New England Patriots beat them 17-22 last time out, the New York Jets still look good. They’re on an excellent run of form, having collected four wins in five games. Their overall record from the past 10 games stands at 7-3.

The New York Jets continue to put up decent numbers in offense, scoring 24.8 points in their last five matches. Considering their season average is 22.0 points, this suggests the offensive unit is consistent. On the defensive side of the ball, there has been no letup whatsoever. The hosts boast one of the stingiest defenses in the entire country, allowing just 19.9 points per game for this season, and have remained formidable in the past five games, having only given up 15.6 points on average.

In 2021, the New York Jets went 4-13 to end up with a fourth-place finish in the AFC East. They subsequently didn’t make the playoffs and were expected to fail again this year. However, given their 5-3 record for this season, they are on course to make a surprise appearance in the NFL postseason.

Form Buffalo Bills

Form is really looking good for the Buffalo Bills after claiming a 27-17 win against Green Bay Packers last week. The victory extended their winning streak to four matches, improving their regular season record to 6-1. They are also 3-1 on the road.

The offense has continued to torment opposing defenses consistently, averaging 26.2 points in the last five matches. This leaves the Buffalo Bills’ tally for the season at 29.0 points overall. With 14.0 points allowed per game, the Buffalo Bills’ defense is up in the top half of the league’s defensive rankings, which may give them some pull for their latest trip.

Despite going no further than the wild card round of the playoffs last season, Buffalo Bills are hopeful of a potential AFC Championship challenge and maybe winning the Super Bowl itself, considering their 6-1 start in the regular season.


The Buffalo Bills pulled off a 27-10 win in their most recent game against the New York Jets, which took place at the Highmark Stadium. The total has gone under 47.0 points in 14 of the last 25 meetings between these teams. The New York Jets came out on top 12 times in these games, while the Buffalo Bills could only claim 13 wins.

The New York Jets scored 21.64 points on average per game in their 25 most recent head-to-head games against the Buffalo Bills. The latter managed an average of 23.76 points per game.


While the teams are two places apart in the AFC East, they are both playoff contenders as things stand. The Buffalo Bills top the divisional standings after going 6-1 this season. They also lead the way in the AFC Conference, while the New York Jets occupy third in the AFC East and rank inside the AFC playoff bracket.



Take the Buffalo Bills (5.75) for the outright win on the moneyline. The New York Jets have struggled to get results against the away team in recent years, and while the home-field advantage is on their side at the MetLife Stadium, that may not be enough. The New York Jets are at home, but the Buffalo Bills have had their number at the MetLife Stadium of late. The visitors have won the last four rounds away to the New York Jets and we see no reason why they can’t win again on Sunday.


The Buffalo Bills (1.15) are expected to win by more than a touchdown in Sunday’s road trip. The visitors open as -12.5 favorites over the New York Jets on the Week 9 betting lines. An average 14.0 point winning margin was the difference between the New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills across their last five meetings. The spread itself was only 1.3 points off in these games. For the latest showdown, the oddsmakers have the spread set at 12.5.

The New York Jets have covered the spread in four of their last five games. The hosts are 3-3 ATS at home and 7-3 ATS overall in their last 10 games.

In their past 10 matches, the Buffalo Bills went 6-3 ATS in this market and ended up 2-2 ATS in their 10 most recent road trips.


The last 25 games between the New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills offered a decent average of 45.4 points on the board.

The average total in the last five encounters between the New York Jets and Buffalo Bills was 38 points. As the total for their latest showdown is set at 47.0, taking the Under (1.15) might just be worth its weight in gold.

The last three times the New York Jets were in action, the total went under. Meanwhile, on the other side of the market, the total only went over in three of the last five home games for the New York Jets. They are 5-5 against the total across their last ten games, whether home or away.

In the last five matches Buffalo Bills played, the total score went under. Going on the road doesn’t always seem to produce the expected number of points for the Buffalo Bills, as the total has gone under in four of the past eight matchups matches away from home.