New York Jets vs New England Patriots NFL match analysis, predictions and odds

The New England Patriots (3-4) take to the road for an AFC East matchup against the New York Jets (5-2) on Sunday. The two teams enter Week 8 split by two wins and two places in the divisional standings. The New York Jets are ahead in second after going 5-2 in seven games for the regular season, leaving them on course for the playoffs for now, while the 3-4 New England Patriots are dead last. However, given how the New England Patriots have bossed the home team non-stop since 2015, the oddsmakers are siding with the visitors as they chase a 13th straight win in this series.

Form New York Jets

By beating the Denver Broncos 16-9 in Week 7, the New York Jets extended their winning streak to four games. The hosts are now 8-2 in their past 10 games, but only 1-2 at home for this season.

Compared to last year, the New York Jets have a much improved defensive unit. From surrendering 29.6 points per game in 2021, the defense has only allowed 19.6 points on average this time around and just 9.0 points in the last three matches alone. On the other side, the offense has put up a decent 22.7 points per game so far.

Form New England Patriots

The New England Patriots saw a two-match winning streak go up in smoke in Week 7. Despite entering their last matchup as the 8.5-point favorites, the visitors fell to a huge 33-14 defeat against the Chicago Bears. The loss left them 4-6 in their past 10 games, and 2-3 in their last five on the road.

In terms of offense and defense, the New England Patriots have been one of the most competitive outfits of late. The offense has put 27.0 points on board across the last three games, averaging 22.1 points for the season overall, while the defense has only allowed 16.0 points in as many matches and 20.9 points for the year itself.


The New England Patriots pulled off a 54-13 win in their most recent game against the New York Jets, which took place at the Gillette Stadium in October 2021. The victory extended their winning streak in this series to 12 games, with six of them coming on the road at the MetLife Stadium. They also boast a 21-4 record in the last 25 rounds against the New York Jets.

In these past 25 meetings, the New York Jets scored 16.16 points per game and the New England Patriots averaged 29.48 points.


In the AFC East division, the New York Jets have clearly been the better team this season. The hosts are 5-2 and unbeaten on the road, although a dodgy 1-2 home record could give the New England Patriots hope. The visitors are 2-2 on the road and can improve to 0.500 by winning this divisional matchup.



Take the New England Patriots (-141) for the outright win on the moneyline.

While the New York Jets are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games, they are only 2-7 SU in their last 9 at home. This has us siding with the New England Patriots, who are on a 12-match winning streak against the hosts.

Since March 2021, the New England Patriots have beaten the New York Jets by at least 14 points in three encounters. They are also 6-0 SU in their last 6 road trips to the MetLife Stadium.


The last five games between the New York Jets and New England Patriots have produced an average winning margin of 21.4 points, and while both teams look tempting prospects against the spread, we’re siding with the New York Jets (-110) as the 2.5-point home underdogs.

Given how the New York Jets have covered the spread in their last four matches, backing them to do so again looks like it’s worth a tilt. The hosts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games, 4-1 ATS in their last five matchups against AFC opponents, and 4-1 ATS against teams with a losing record.

The New England Patriots are doing nothing bad as well, going 3-2 ATS in their past 5 games alone. However, while they are 4-1 in their last five rounds with the New York Jets, they have covered just once in their five most recent meetings against teams with a winning record.


The last 25 games between the New York Jets and the New England Patriots offered a decent average of 45.64 points on the board.

For the last five encounters, the average total between the New York Jets and New England Patriots was a staggering 46 points. As the total for their latest showdown is 40.50 points, it might be worth taking the Over (-110) for this matchup.

After all, the total has gone over in four of the New England Patriots’ last five matches, and while the New York Jets defense has been impeccable of late, we think the away offense will be up for the challenge of putting points on board.