Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons NFL match analysis, predictions and odds

Tampa Bay Buccaneers hope for a successful tie at the Raymond James Stadium, where they welcome the Atlanta Falcons in an exciting divisional match-up this coming Sunday. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2) top the NFC South division after 4 games while the Atlanta Falcons (2-2) sit one spot behind in second place. Considering how big a favorite the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are, home supporters will be outraged if they fail to get a win on board.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Form

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers came up short against Kansas City Chiefs, when they slipped to a 31-41 defeat in their latest game. They’ve lost 4 in a row at home at the Raymond James Stadium and are 4-6 in the past 10 games overall.

While the offense has only put 20.5 points on board, the defense has picked up the slack. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have only allowed 17.0 points in 4 games this season, which is the league’s joint-5th best record alongside the Denver Broncos.

Atlanta Falcons Form

The Atlanta Falcons held their nerve to claim a close 23-20 win over the Cleveland Browns in Week 4. They’ve now won 5 of their last 10 games in the league and are 2-3 in their last 5 on the road.

While the offense has put a respectable 25.3 points on board, the defense has leaked 25.8 points in 4 games. But to be fair, the Atlanta Falcons have mostly played against high-scoring offenses. With that in mind, looking too far down on their defense might be a bit harsh at this stage of the season. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons H2H

The total went under 48.0 points in the most recent encounter between these two sides. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the match 17-30 against the Atlanta Falcons at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. They both came away with 5 wins from their past 10 games against each other, as both the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Atlanta Falcons failed to claim the upper hand.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored 31.2 points on average per game in their 10 most recent games against the Atlanta Falcons. The latter managed an average of 27.2 points per game.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Standings

The prize up for grabs on Sunday will be top spot in the NFC South. The two sides are 2-2 for the season, but have endured contrasting fortunes. The Atlanta Falcons are 1-1 at home and on the road, while the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost all their home matches (0-2). They are 1-0 against NFC South teams though, while their visiting opponents are 0-1.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Betting


Despite losing their last two at home, this match has the makings of a straight win for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They went 5-2 S/U against NFC South teams last season, which was much better than the 2-5 record posted by the Atlanta Falcons. I’m taking the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-400) for the outright win.


In the past 10 meetings between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Atlanta Falcons either side were able to cover the spread no less than 8 times.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in 4 games on the bounce, even in front of their boisterous crowd at the Raymond James Stadium. They are 5-5 ATS at home and 4-6 ATS overall in their last 10 games.

The Atlanta Falcons have covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 outings. The visitors are 6-3 ATS on the road and 6-3 ATS overall in their 10 most recent matches. Take the Atlanta Falcons (9.00) to cover the spread.


There was an average of 58.4 points scored in the previous 10 clashes between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Atlanta Falcons.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers saw 5 of their previous 6 games going under. The total score went over in half their previous 10 home matches, while they are 4-6 in the over/under market across their last 10 home and away games combined.

In the last 4 matches Atlanta Falcons played on the road, the total score went over. Over was also a winning bet 6 times in the past 10 away games for the Atlanta Falcons, who are 7-3 in the last 10 overall. I’m taking the Over (-110) for this match.